The Stock Market Has Come To The Crossroads. How Will It Go In The Future?

Last week, it fell to the 3600 mark of the integer mark. This week, the restricted market share of the two cities was nearly 30 billion yuan, and 10 of the IPO enterprises will restart the meeting this week.

Last week, there were more information on the news, which in turn constituted a certain pressure on the short term trend.

Recently, from the market perspective, on the one hand, the issuance of new shares is near, and this batch of IPO has adopted the full margin deposit system.

On the other hand, the economic pressure of the restricted shares is relatively large, and the surrounding market is probably not stable, so there is a relatively obvious adjustment requirement in the market.

From the disk, it is not ruled out that the adjustment pressure is larger in the last half of the week. Both the 20 antenna and the 30 antenna may be subjected to certain pressure.

Although the short-term adjustment pressure is more obvious, the long-term trend in the market is still clearer.

The market has reached the crossroads. At this juncture, I firmly believe that the market is still going slow. Although there is a callback and a concussion, it does not change the pattern of the slow cow.

The reopening and terrorist attacks in Paris are only a psychological impact on A shares. They do not constitute a real threat and do not constitute a force to change the market trend.

The IPO reboot was originally made in two batches a month, and a group reached more than 20. Now we have divided a batch into two batches. The first batch is 10, and the remaining 18 are still being issued. Such a quantity is fundamentally different from the original very urgent and very large issue volume, that is, IPO restart. The initial volume is very small, very cautious and very slow. It will not change the trend that the market has just started to recover, and I am very confident and firm about it.

In the medium and short term, we should be cautious. For the latter stage, we need to pay attention to two directions of capital flow. One is the direction of the stock market after the mainstream capital flows into the stock market in the future. The two is the performance of the new stock market with more hot money inflow on Friday.

The mainstream funds represent the mentality of following suit. If the stock market can not be brought up again, the hype of the new stock market will be ebbed again, then it may lead to many concussion and fall down from the double effect of the profit making market and the pressure of the early holding plate. Therefore, we should pay close attention to the trend of the mainstream capital and carefully control the ratio of assets to capital.

For next week, although the fundamentals of the weekend are relatively large, it basically has an effect of short hedge, and more may be reflected in the next week.

A shock, because whether it is the lifting of the restrictions on the sale of shares, or the purchase of new shares, including raising the proportion of financing, relatively speaking is a reduction in the disguised form of funds. Therefore, the relative index of such a position, the reduction of the supply of funds will undoubtedly affect the market, it is estimated that there may still be a trend of adjustment.

There is a certain degree of adjustment in the market. The reason for the adjustment is mainly related to the decline of the external market and commodities. Of course, A shares have been relatively large since October 8th, so there is a relatively large relationship between profit taking and the hold ups in August. These negative pressure will lead to A shares still under certain pressure.

Overseas stock market is still relatively clear at present, coupled with terrorist attacks on the capital market preferences also have some pressure, so the short-term adjustment of A shares should not be fully in place.