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Analysis Of Today'S Cotton Futures Market: Market Outlook Is Dim.

2012/12/7 11:18:00 20

Cotton FuturesMarket AnalysisPost Market Demand For Cotton

< p > cotton price information: cotton price information: 1301 contract 19700, +5 point, hold -1740 hand; 1305 contract 19120, +5 point, hold +440 hand.

Cotton warehouse receipt information: cotton warehouse receipts totaled 522 (including 196 Xinjiang cotton), 3 fewer than the previous day (2 Xinjiang cotton 1 inland cotton), 37 effective forecasts.

The flow of cotton capital flows into 6 million yuan.

< a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/news/index_c.asp" > cotton < /a > warehouse receipt quotation: Mainland 4 grade cotton Shandong Hebei self raise price: 18900 yuan, Hunan Hubei Jiangsu self raise price: 19000 yuan, Xinjiang cotton Jiangsu Shandong Henan self raise price: 20100-20200 yuan.

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< p > cotton purchase and storage situation: in December 6th, the planned storage and storage of 99280 tons, the actual turnover of 41890 tons, the paction ratio of 42.2%, compared with the previous day reduced by 1510 tons.

Among them, the Xinjiang warehouse point plan to close and store 16000 tons, actually clinch a deal of 16000 tons, the paction proportion is 100%, the mainland warehouse plans to store and store 83280 tons, actually clinch a deal 25890 tons, the paction proportion is 31.1%.

As of today's 2012, cotton temporary storage and storage totaled 3657770 tons, with a total turnover of 1941320 tons in Xinjiang, and a total turnover of 1191940 tons in the mainland, with a total turnover of 524510 tons by the backbone enterprises.

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"P" basic situation: domestic: the cotton price index (CCindex328) 18967 yuan, up 14 yuan, 527 to the factory price of 16687 yuan, up 11 yuan.

Although the recent lint < a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/news/index_s.asp" > spot > /a > the market is slightly warmer, but some enterprises are still pessimistic about the market outlook, whether it is traders or textile enterprises, the survival situation is not optimistic.

The loss of textile enterprises has the phenomenon of "doing more and making more profits, less losses and less losses".

Most textile enterprises have low cotton stocks and buy with them, so they can only accept the uplift of cotton prices passively and deteriorate their living environment in the near future. A small number of textile enterprises purchased more cotton in June 2011, and the inventory is still available for 1-2 months, and the relative cost is relatively low.

On the side of cotton, the spot market performance of peripheral oils and fats is acceptable, which plays a certain supporting role in cottonseed oil and cottonseed meal. The market is steady and bullish; the demand for cotton lint is still not active; the cotton shell is showing signs of stopping in the near future; overall, the cotton by-products are stable.

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According to the US Department of agriculture USDA, 11.23-11.29, the United States Department of agriculture signed a 94279 week net export of cotton for the year, up 38% from the previous week, an increase of 25% over the past four weeks, 47831 tons of shipment, an increase of 66% over the previous week, an average increase of 76% over the previous four weeks, of which China signed 57742 tons, a net signing of 6192 tons of Pima cotton in the current year, a marked increase over the previous week, an increase of 22% over the previous week, an average of 22% tons, and a shipment of 1338 tons; and the signing of the next year's land cotton 975 ton.

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< p > India: since the 2012-2013 international cotton year (2012.8.1-2013.7.31), India's domestic a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/news/index_cj.asp" > cotton price < /a > overall showed a downward trend.

As the rupee continued to depreciate against the US dollar, the price of Shankar-6 ginning factory went down 80 cents in October 12th, down 78 cents in November 13th, and was recently between 77-78 cents.

Due to the influence of monsoon rainfall, the sowing date of Xinhua was postponed this year, and the picking and acquisition progress was delayed correspondingly. According to the cumulative purchase of 385 thousand tons in November 18th,

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< p > today we will briefly introduce the new cotton standard.

The new cotton standard has abolished the grade requirements in the original standard, and replaced the three indexes of color level, rolling quality and fracture strength, and added the index of length overall degree. The fiber length, the micron value and the three indexes of the foreign fiber remain unchanged, so the new cotton index uses 7 quality indicators.

The color level is divided into white cotton (5 grades), light spotted cotton (3 grades), light yellow dyed cotton (3 grades), yellow dyed cotton (2 grades) 4 types, a total of 13 grades.

The standard cotton is 3128B cotton, indicating white cotton grade 3, micron value B, fiber length 28mm, medium quality, moderate fracture strength, medium length uniformity, and less foreign fiber.

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< p > above all, cotton spot market has been rising steadily due to the purchase and storage volume, while the price of the downstream textile and terminal consumption has been weak. The long-term weak pattern of cotton price has not changed, and the 1305 contract weakness has been maintained.

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