Agricultural Products Are Crazy &Nbsp; Textile Business Enterprises Pay Cautious Attention.

"We really dare not hoard goods. This price is raised by funds. Who knows when to fall."

This year, corn, mung beans, rice, soybeans, sugar, vegetables and other agricultural products have gone up over a wave of rising prices.

Recently, the focus of price rises has been spread to apples and cotton, and a large number of dealers have rushed to Shandong to win fruit.

As for cotton, Xinjiang's cotton producing areas also started a "price war", a record high.

Farm products are crazy.

Inflation and hot money speculation have become familiar words to ordinary people.

However, when the last moment of madness arrives, when the hot money surges and the funds pour into the market, people and industry want to know when such madness will end.

"In November 2008, cotton prices were about 12000 yuan a tonne, today (25) is 26000 yuan per ton, up 116%."

Zhang Chengguang has been paying close attention to the price change of raw material cotton in the near future. "That is, the price of silk has also changed. In 2008, it was 14 tons, and now it is 35.5 tons, or 153.5%."

Zhang Chengguang's natural wind textile enterprise is a commercial textile enterprise in Shenzhen.

The bull market of cotton prices has been going on for nearly two years. China's cotton net data show that from 2008 to October, the price of cotton has been rising all the way, and by the end of July this year, the domestic cotton prices have increased rapidly.

Data show that in the past two months, cotton has become the leader in commodity futures.

After the new cotton started to scale, cotton prices rose almost 100 yuan per day. In August, the quotation of Zheng cotton futures contract was only 17000 yuan / ton. At present, spot and futures prices have already broken through the historical high of 25000 yuan per ton.

Recently, cotton futures are jumping high and opening again.

Zhang Chengguang said that in the face of this situation, the export price of natural gas will increase, and it is expected to start raising prices next month. However, due to the price pmission time, it is expected that the overall price increase will be completed by the end of this year.

"The profit of natural wind is better, and when it comes to a low-end route, profits will be lost."

According to the author's understanding, influenced by the cotton price rise, the prices of cotton stained in the market are all rising, clothes, towels, bedding and so on.

However, compared with the end product enterprises, the cost pmission pressure of production and trading enterprises is greater.

The global spread of price rises and cautious attitude towards processing industry

People in the industry say that the ultimate benefit of agricultural prices is not necessarily farmers, but also for processing enterprises.

Zhang Chengguang said that the procurement of raw materials has already had signs of tension. Because of the fluctuation of cotton prices, cotton mills used to have stocks for about 3 months, and now they wait and see, and dare not buy such a large amount.

In this round of price surges, the import factors can not be ignored, especially the agricultural products which are closely related to the international futures market.

According to New York's October 22nd news, hailstorms and torrential rains hit Texas, which accounts for about half of the total cotton harvest in the region, triggering a new round of speculative funds and investors buying.

Fundamentally speaking, any loss of cotton in the United States will result in the purchase of existing cotton.

Traders say this will push cotton prices up.

Huang Junfei, a futures analyst at the Yangtze River, believes that for cotton, cotton may fall back in the first half of 2011.

But when to end the craziness of agricultural products, analysts and agricultural practitioners are hard to conclude.

"Our company is now maintaining zero inventory and order production.

Hot money can come in hype, but we dare not hoard goods.

Zhang Chengguang said that the current price increase is partly made up of funds, and is likely to fall. If domestic cotton import quotas increase, or there are other policy factors, prices will move at any time, so some of their colleagues are prudent operation.

Analysts told the author that the price surge must be repeated in all agricultural products. This is the price increase caused by multiple currencies.

For grain and other large agricultural products, the supply has not changed fundamentally. The price increase should not be very large, and its price will hardly come down.

For mung beans and other small products, prices are more volatile, and there have been substantial fluctuations this year.

It is expected that the overall price change of agricultural products may appear in March and April next year.